FILE - In this July 22, 2011 file photo, a lone cotton plant has sprouted through a piece of parched, cracked earth in a West Texas field near Lubbock, Texas, that was not irrigated. A full-blown El Nino has yet to arrive, but moisture coming in from the Pacific could result in a wetter-than-normal winter and spring for drought-stricken Texas. Forecasters initially expected the rain-producing weather pattern to materialize earlier this year. (AP Photo/Betsy Blaney, File)